Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.900567 3.487341 4.145118 4.934550 5.853524 6.886713 8.133305
2025-06-01 2.036050 2.770376 3.683272 4.890976 6.434741 8.328903 10.814034
2025-06-08 1.534975 2.321225 3.387469 4.915463 7.020760 9.787128 13.658047
2025-06-15 1.188908 1.975038 3.125680 4.892047 7.484733 11.090564 16.408285
2025-06-22 0.892881 1.622240 2.769288 4.645714 7.562864 11.831290 18.424892
2025-06-29 0.720884 1.419611 2.590912 4.616532 7.925347 12.980231 21.098622
2025-07-06 0.589290 1.252655 2.433316 4.582802 8.256028 14.090029 23.790837
2025-07-13 0.532782 1.208471 2.473142 4.875846 9.136501 16.120253 28.061825
2025-07-20 0.467879 1.132512 2.440163 5.030540 9.791769 17.836164 31.962831
2025-07-27 0.424175 1.089967 2.460863 5.280760 10.632473 19.920313 36.617097
2025-08-03 0.362140 0.992819 2.356393 5.275669 11.005680 21.232185 40.068100
2025-08-10 0.293667 0.863698 2.162492 5.063675 10.963243 21.803836 42.278784
2025-08-17 0.233451 0.740324 1.961239 4.812486 10.827057 22.215009 44.282191
2025-08-24 0.198578 0.673566 1.875276 4.792790 11.145334 23.486043 47.927192
2025-08-31 0.172050 0.622586 1.816960 4.824637 11.570039 24.989287 52.106116
2025-09-07 0.147077 0.568799 1.741202 4.804225 11.879455 26.290444 55.993820
2025-09-14 0.117117 0.489485 1.583045 4.562648 11.678689 26.561220 57.922008
2025-09-21 0.100082 0.447365 1.516286 4.534210 11.946385 27.793541 61.803961
2025-09-28 0.085508 0.408903 1.451813 4.501106 12.197609 29.007676 65.727071
2025-10-05 0.081904 0.410801 1.506670 4.789595 13.233309 31.947436 73.321955
2025-10-12 0.074899 0.396966 1.511003 4.941892 13.956129 34.266834 79.782751
2025-10-19 0.070708 0.393527 1.547524 5.188239 14.932145 37.201699 87.691661
2025-10-26 0.061589 0.365277 1.497921 5.183228 15.280825 38.778034 92.838567